Industry

Jozi’s property boom – and what it means for you

25 November 2015 | Marcel du Toit

We love Jozi—we build our lives, families, and careers here—and it’s where we invest in property. What a smart move that is.

Leadhome University has been researching property sales data to see how the average home price has changed over the last ten years, and it makes for some interesting reading. Our research focused on seven areas that make up the bulk of Joburg – Sandton, Randburg, Roodepoort, Johannesburg Central, Midrand, Edenvale, and Bedfordview.

Growth above inflation

Since 2005, the value of the average Joburg property grew 7.3% per year. Of those, freehold properties grew at the highest rate—7.8% per year—compared to sectional schemes, which grew at 6.3%. The average price of a home in the 7 areas of Jozi is now R1.3 million (2005: R646,000), of which freeholds average R1.9 million (2005: R890,000) and sectional schemes R868,000 (2005: R473,000).

screen-shot-2016-10-13-at-3-56-49-pm

Interestingly, the price growth differential between freeholds and sectional schemes has accelerated over the last two years with buyers willing to pay a premium for space. Between 2013 and 2015, the average annual growth rate of freeholds has increased to 9.4%, compared to sectional titles at 5.9%.

screen-shot-2016-10-13-at-3-57-22-pm

But what does this mean for you as Jozi homeowner?

We have put together two sensitivity tables based on the observed growth rates of freeholds and sectional titles.

Find the price that you paid for your property in the top row. Then, find the year in which you purchased your property in the left-hand column. Trace where the row and the column intersect. This cell will show the theoretical price of your property based on the price growth per year over your period of ownership. Note that this assumes that your home is in the same shape it was when you bought it and that no additions (like a new kitchen) have been made.

If you bought a sectional scheme in 2007 for R750,000, its theoretical price today is R1.070,000 (4.5% growth per year). If you bought a freehold property in 2005 for R1,500,000, its theoretical price today is R3,170,000 (7.8% growth per year).

Sectional schemes

250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250
2005 459 918 1,377 1,837 2,296 2,755 3,214 3,673 4,132
2006 403 807 1,210 1,613 2,017 2,420 2,823 3,226 3,630
2007 357 713 1,070 1,426 1,783 2,139 2,496 2,852 3,209
2008 323 646 968 1,291 1,614 1,937 2,259 2,582 2,905
2009 320 641 961 1,282 1,602 1,922 2,243 2,563 2,883
2010 294 588 882 1,176 1,471 1,765 2,059 2,353 2,647
2011 296 592 888 1,184 1,481 1,777 2,073 2,369 2,665
2012 289 578 866 1,155 1,444 1,733 2,022 2,310 2,599
2013 281 561 842 1,122 1,403 1,683 1,964 2,244 2,525
2014 259 518 777 1,036 1,295 1,554 1,813 2,072 2,331
2015 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250

Freeholds

500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 2500
2005 1057 1585 2113 2641 3170 3698 4226 4754 5283
2006 906 1359 1812 2265 2718 3171 3624 4077 4530
2007 731 1097 1462 1828 2193 2559 2925 3290 3656
2008 686 1029 1372 1715 2058 2401 2744 3087 3430
2009 672 1008 1344 1680 2016 2352 2688 3024 3360
2010 622 933 1243 1554 1865 2176 2487 2798 3109
2011 619 929 1238 1548 1857 2167 2477 2786 3096
2012 596 894 1192 1490 1788 2086 2384 2682 2980
2013 598 897 1196 1495 1794 2093 2392 2691 2990
2014 511 766 1022 1277 1532 1788 2043 2299 2554
2015 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 2500

Although there are significant limitations to pricing a property on the basis of graphs and tables, we still hope this helps you understand how the current value of your property is based on market price growth. Should you wish to receive a tailored, in-depth valuation of your property, please do not hesitate to contact us for a free, no obligation valuation.

Next week we’ll dive down into these numbers and focus specifically on how Sandton’s property market has changed in the past ten years.

Marcel du Toit

Marcél du Toit is CEO of Leadhome. He is interested in the intersection where technology, customer service, and the real world meet, with a specific focus on proptech. Outside of Leadhome he's passionate about his two rescue dogs, sport, and all things South Africa. Marcél holds a masters degree in Management & Finance from the University of Oxford.

M.Sc. Management & Finance (University of Oxford) B.A. PPE & Accounting (University of Stellenbosch) Paul Roos Gymnasium (Stellenbosch)

WhatsApp Logo
WhatsApp us